Prediction: It’s between Australia, Russia, Italy or Sweden

Belgium, Serbia and Latvia in with an outside chance.

After watching last night’s jury final of this year’s Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2015, we think that the winner of this year’s Grand Prix is likely to come from one of the following four countries, each one being a perfect example of a different genre:

Australia – Guy Sebastian’s “Tonight Again” is an insanely infectious piece of vocal-led pop-rock and his performance is faultless. Australia have a novelty factor but even without this, the song would be a strong contender and Guy Sebastian makes a hugely likeable impression on stage.

Russia – Polina Gagarina sings “A Million Voices” with assurance and does just about everything you would expect of a big Slavic power ballad. The staging makes the most of her beauty and creates a fairytale princess vibe. There was no booing in the hall for this entry, and rightly so. Gagarina will get a fair few twelves, and not just from Russia’s neighbours.

Sweden – Måns Zelmerlöw’s modern commercial pop song is the bookies’ favourite, despite claims that the song sounds a lot like David Guetta’s Lovers in the Sun. Possibly the best stage show of the night, and Måns’ vocal performance is always impressive. Some claim the song needs more than one listen to really hit home.

Italy – Il Volo have been placed very last in the final, and they certainly won’t be forgotten as they deliver a breathtaking vocal performance of their powerful mid-tempo operatic ballad. The drama builds throughout, even though the song has suffered slightly from having to be cut to three minutes.

Outsiders in with a chance are Belgium with their minimalist, modern, edgy pop song “Rhythm Inside”, Latvia with “Love Injected”, a similarly modern, minimalist number which is beautifully sung, and Serbia‘s affirmation that it’s ok to be different, “Beauty Never Lies” which starts as a ballad and then explodes into a disco stomper half-way through, to the audience’s delight.

Join us tonight for our liveblog and tell us what you think of the performances. We’ll be live from 7.45pm!

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My first Eurovision memory is watching the nervous Doireann Ní Bhriain present the 1981 contest from Dublin where of course Bucks Fizz won. So yes, I'm no spring chicken.

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